Weekly Update (Generated Aug. 11, 2020) on the Cumulative U.S. Death Predictions From the COVID-19 Forecast Hub

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AMHERST, Mass. – Weekly update (generated Aug. 11, 2020) on the cumulative U.S. death predictions from the COVID-19 Forecast Hub.

Nicholas Reich, director of the UMass Influenza Forecasting Center of Excellence and associate professor of biostatistics and epidemiology in the School of Public Health and Health Sciences, will continue each week to update projections, four weeks out, for number of COVID-19 deaths nationally and by state.

Media advisories will no longer be issued weekly but as needed, depending on the data. The hub’s ensemble model, curated by Reich and his team, combines forecasts from several dozen models produced by teams of highly respected infectious-disease forecasters from prominent institutions.

All the data, updated weekly, will remain publicly accessible and for use by the media on the COVID-19 Forecast Hub and will appear on the Center for Disease Control’s COVID-19 site, which includes forecasts of cases, hospitalizations and deaths at the national, state and county level.

For more information and the latest updates, follow Reich on Twitter @reichlab.