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Part A: Probability

  • Probability axioms, conditional probability and independence and probability on countable sets.
  • Construction of probability measures, in particular on R and Rd.
  • Random variables and theory of integration.
  • Independence random variables and sum of independent random variables.
  • Convergence of random variables (almost sure, in probability, Lp) and laws of large numbers.
  • Weak convergence and central limit theorems.
  • Conditional expectation and martingales.

Part B: Stochastics

  • Simulation of random variable and Monte-Carlo methods.
  • Finite and countable state space Markov chains, stationary distribution, convergence, recurrence and transient behavior. Monte-Carlo Markov chains.
  • Continuous time Markov chains, poisson processes and queueing processes.
  • Martingales.
  • Random walks and Brownian motion.

References (Probability)

  • Cinlar, Probability and Stochastics
  • Dudley, Real Analysis and Probability
  • Durrett, Probability: Theory and Examples
  • Jacod and Protter, Probability Essentials
  • Resnick, Probability Path
  • Rosenthal, A first look at rigorous probability
  • Shiryaev, Probability

References (Stochastics)

  • Lawler, Introduction to Stochastic Processes
  • Resnick, Adventures in Stochastic processes
  • Durrett, Essentials of Stochastic Processes
  • Ross, Introduction to Probability Models
  • Madras, Lectures on Monte-Carlo Methods
  • Rubinstein and Kroese, Simulation and the Monte Carlo Method
  • Levin, Peres and Wilmer, Markov chain and mixing times
  • Hoel, Port and Stone, Introduction to Stochastic Processes
  • Ross, Stochastic Processes
  • Karlin and Taylor, A first course in Stochastic Processes