
V. Components of the Multi-Year Plan
A. Revenues
(1)
State Appropriation Revenues $
17.5M
The
projections of the Working Group on Financial Resources are updated
in Table III. This model projects State revenue through models developed
by the Massachusetts Tax Payers Foundation. Based on historical trends
and on the fraction dedicated to the Amherst Campus, the table reveals
that in each of the 6 year periods, FY77-82, FY83-88, FY89-94, the average
growth of the University budget was lower than the growth of State Revenues.
From FY77 to FY82 the averages were 7.9% and 7.3%; from FY83 to FY88,
10.3% and 9.8%; from FY89 to FY94, 4.4% and -0.9% respectively. Whether
in periods of high growth or of decline, the percentage reaching the
Amherst Campus was lower by 1 to 5 percentage points than the overall
State increase.
We
adopt a more optimistic view of the future. At the Campus and System
levels we are committed to a sustained effort in improving the image
and funding for public higher education. Therefore, unlike our earlier
projections in Strategic Thinking, we shall assume that for the period
through to the end of the century the Amherst Campus will at least sustain
the average growth of State Revenues, projected at 4.2%. Then the percentage
of the state revenues reaching the Amherst Campus will match the current
level of 1.54%. Indeed, as we enter the next century and millennium
with the demands for knowledge in the Information Age, we find it difficult
to imagine how the State could fail to make an even larger investment
in its public flagship Land Grant-Research University. For each of the
years FY97 onwards this model, when combined with the funding of salary
contracts already bargained, and assuming 3% for salary contracts in
FY99 and FY2000, the projected revenues beyond salaries will be $3.5
million per year or $17.5 million over five years. (In Strategic Thinking
a lower projection of $12.5 million was used).
Note
that the growth level of 4.2% in State appropriations translates into
roughly 3.5% per year for the State appropriation shown in Table II,
since the revenues in Table III include special appropriations for Libraries,
Financial Aid, etc., which are not incorporated in Table II. Combined
with the other revenues discussed in the following Parts (2) and (3),
the overall growth of the Operating Budget to FY2001 relative to FY96
is also approximately 3.5%, which is the number shown in the third panel
of Figure 2.
Table
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Raising Revenues