NECSC Projects

The following projects are funded by the NE CSC.

Project Leader Title Status
Olivia LeDee Wildlife Adaptation Menu

The Climate Change Response Framework  (...

Ongoing
FY'17
Toni Lyn Morelli The Vulnerability of Northeastern Wildlife to Climate Change: Using decision science to inform management

In the face of increasing temperatures, shifting precipitation patterns, and large uncertainty,...

Ongoing
Michelle Staudinger Brook Floater Conservation

The Brook Floater (Alasmidonta varicosa) is a stream-dwelling freshwater mussel native to the...

Ongoing
Mary Ratnaswamy Assessing Climate-Driven Changes of Phenology (Timing) of Migratory Birds and Their Food Sources

This project aims to assess climate-driven changes in the phenology (timing) of migratory birds...

Ongoing
FY'15
Chris Caldwell Indigenous Planning Summer Institute

The purpose of the Indigenous Planning Summer Institute (IPSI) is to introduce concepts of...

Ongoing
Toni Lyn Morelli A Monarch's View of the City: Urban Monarch Landscape Conservation Design

The monarch butterfly is in trouble - monarch butterfly habitat has declined throughout most of...

Ongoing
Raymond Bradley Fire history from lake sediments, & future fire vulnerability scenarios

Major forest fires are relatively uncommon in the northeastern United States, but due to the...

Ongoing
Michelle Staudinger, Adrian Jordaan How and why is the timing and occurrence of seasonal migrants in the Gulf of Maine changing due to climate?

Shifts in phenology, or the timing of recurring life events, have been described as a “...

Ongoing
FY'16
Richard Palmer Slowing the Flow for Climate Resilience (SFCR): Reducing Vulnerability to Extreme Flows and Providing Multiple Ecological Benefits in a Non-Stationary Climate

Current and future hydrologic variability is a major driver underlying large-scale management...

Ongoing
FY'16
Curtice Griffin Mechanisms for species responses to climate change: Are there biological thresholds?

Climate change-driven shifts in distribution and abundance are documented in many species....

Ongoing
FY'16
Michelle Staudinger Critical thresholds and ecosystem services for coastal ecological and human climate adaptation

A large portion of the U.S. population lives in coastal areas along the Atlantic and Gulf coasts...

Completed
FY'16
Toni Lyn Morelli One Hundred Parks and Counting: Biodiversity Findings and Outreach Impacts from a Nationwide BioBlitz

Connecting people, nature, and science is at the core of the mission of the US Department of the...

Ongoing
Toni Lyn Morelli, Bethany Bradley, Curtice Griffin Regional Effort on Invasive Species and Climate Change (RISCC) Management

Invasive species and climate change represent two of the five major global change threats to...

Ongoing
Peter McIntyre Coupled physical-chemical-biological models to predict losses of cold-water fish from inland lakes under climate warming

Cold-water fish are disappearing from many Midwestern lakes as they warm. This loss is due to a...

Ongoing
Peter McIntyre, Daniel Vimont WICCI: Second report on Climate Change Impacts in Wisconsin

WICCI is a grassroots effort to consolidate information about climate change impacts in...

Ongoing
Peter McIntyre Quantifying shifting fish migration phenology across the Great Lakes

The timing of major life cycle events (reproduction, flowering, feeding) is set by seasonal...

Ongoing
Toni Lyn Morelli Effects of arctic ground squirrel abundance and distribution on carbon cycling and ecosystem dynamics

Increasing atmospheric greenhouse gases have caused global warming, resulting in considerable...

Ongoing
Toni Lyn Morelli Using decision science to inform management: A focus on climate change refugia

The field of climate adaptation is still getting established, and guidelines and examples for...

Ongoing
Toni Lyn Morelli, Mary Ratnaswamy Assessing potential impacts of climate change on carnivore occupancy and snowshoe hare demography along elevational and latitudinal gradients in the Northeastern U.S.

This project is evaluating the relative influence of climate, habitat, and competition on...

Ongoing
Alexander Bryan Air Quality Impacts of Climate-Induced Changes on Forest Composition

Forests play a role in air quality by supplying the atmosphere with volatile organic compounds (...

Ongoing
Peter McIntyre Predicting the fate and impact of watershed nutrient loads as Lake Michigan's hydrodynamics shift under climate change

Climate change is shifting the hydrodynamics and temperature of both the Great Lakes and their...

Ongoing
Radley Horton, Anthony D'Amato Linking Species' Responses to Climate Extremes

We are identifying historical relationships between climate extremes and species abundance, and...

Ongoing
Richard Palmer Reconnecting Floodplains and Restoring Green Space as a Management Strategy to Minimize Risk and Increase Resilience in the Context of Climate and Landscape Change

This research seeks to identify opportunities to manage flows, connections, and landscapes in a...

Ongoing
FY'15
Benjamin Letcher Does Variation in Life History and Evolutionary Response Affect Species Vulnerability to Climate Change? Implications for Management

Climate change poses a variety of threats to biodiversity. Most efforts to assess the likely...

Ongoing
FY'15
Kristina Stinson Climate Effects on the Culture and Ecology of Sugar Maple
Maple syrup is produced from the sap of sugar maple trees collected in the late winter and...
Ongoing
FY'15
Jordan Read An Integrated Assessment of Lake and Stream Thermal Habitat Under Climate Change

Water temperatures are warming in lakes and streams, resulting in the loss of many native fish....

Ongoing
FY'15
Erika Lentz Pilot Study to Evaluate Coastal Change Using Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS)
Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) are a new and relatively untapped resource for coastal surveying...
Ongoing
FY'15
Evan Grant Characterizing Local and Rangewide Variation in Demography and Adaptive Capacity of a Forest Indicator Species

Climate change will have sweeping impacts across the northeast, yet there are key gaps in our...

Ongoing
FY'15
Chris Caldwell Supporting Collaborative Relationships between Tribes and Climate Science in the Northeast Region to Address Climate Impacts
All peoples have a right to make meaningful plans for their future. For many Tribes in the...
Ongoing
FY'15
Chris Caldwell Tribal Colleges and Universities: TCU Engagement with Tribal Communities on Climate Change Issues

This project is focused on the specific actions of CMNSDI as part of the CMN Campus and...

Ongoing
Richard Palmer Determining the Skill and Value of Incorporating Streamflow Forecasts into an Early Drought Detection System

This research investigates forecast skill in predicting the onset and severity of drought.  One...

Ongoing
Toni Lyn Morelli Using Scenario Planning to Inform Land and Wildlife Management: A Pilot Project for Boreal Forests in the Northeastern United States

Scenario planning is one decision support method that can help managers incorporate information...

Ongoing
Michelle Staudinger, Scott Jackson, Steve DeStefano Massachusetts Fish and Wildlife Climate Action Tool

The Massachusetts Wildlife Climate Action Tool is...

Ongoing
Jianwu Tang Scaling phenological patterns of canopy carbon cycling: Integrating physiology, canopy imagery, and net ecosystem exchange

Changing climate is predicted to shift the phenology of plant processes, with implications for...

Ongoing
Ivan Valiela Long-term record of Atmospheric N deposition interact with climate to influence estuarine impacts

Atmospheric depostion can be an important contribution to nitrogen loading in coastal regions....

Ongoing
Frank Thompson Using agent-based models to identify conservation solutions to large scale environmental variation and climate change

Effective migratory bird management and conservation requires an integrate approach at multiple...

Ongoing
Michelle Staudinger Integrating Climate Change into the State Wildlife Action Plans

Fish and Wildlife agencies across the United States are currently revising their State Wildlife...

Ongoing
Raymond Bradley Snowfall changes in future climate scenarios

Changes of snow occurrence across the central and eastern United...

Ongoing
Raymond Bradley Elevation-dependent climate changes in mountain regions

Mountain regions constrain ecological responses to climate change.  Understanding how future...

Completed
Alexander Bryan Climate Assessments and Scenario Planning (CLASP)

This project aims to compile, synthesize, and communicate tailored climate change information to...

Ongoing
Christopher Neill, Linda Deegan Interactions between climate change and beavers in coastal streams

We are investigating the effects of climate on multiple aspects of river hydrology, inlding the...

Completed
Jack B. Waide Incorporating Social Drivers to Optimize Conservation Practices that Address Gulf Hypoxia and Declining Wildlife Populations Impacted by Extreme Climate Events

USFWS Landscape Conservation Cooperatives (LCCs) throughout the Mississippi River Basin (MRB)...

Ongoing
FY'14
James D. Nichols Avian Indicators of Climate Change Based on the North American Breeding Bird Survey

Appropriate ecological indicators of climate change can be used to measure concurrent changes in...

Completed
FY'14
Ezra Markowitz, Michelle Staudinger Early Career Climate Communications and Networking

The Department of the Interior and the U.S. Geological Survey have made it a priority to train...

Ongoing
FY'14
Adrian Jordaan, Michelle Staudinger Ecological and management implications of climate change induced shifts in phenology of coastal fish and wildlife species in the Northeast CSC region

Climate change is causing species to shift their phenology, or the timing of recurring life...

Ongoing
FY'14
Robert Jacobson Science to Inform Management of Floodplain Conservation Lands under Non-Stationary Conditions

Recent extreme floods on the Mississippi and Missouri Rivers (1993, 1995, 1997, 2007, 2010, and...

Ongoing
FY'14
Michael Notaro Development of Dynamically-Based 21st Century Projections of Snow, Lake Ice, and Winter Severity for the Great Lakes Basin to Guide Wildlife-Based Adaptation Planning, with Emphasis on Deer and Waterfowl

Our project focuses on anticipated effects of 21st century climate change on winter severity,...

Ongoing
FY'14
Linda Deegan Climate change facilitates northern expansion of an estuarine decapod ecosystem engineer

We conducted a survey of saltmarshes north of Cape Cod to determine if decapod crustaceans were...

Completed
Toni Lyn Morelli, Mary Ratnaswamy, William DeLuca, Keith Nislow Impact of red squirrel distributional shifts on resiliency of birds in the face of climate change

Little is known about how shifting small mammal populations in response to climate change will...

Ongoing
Curtice Griffin, Kevin McGarigal A climate dependent metapopulation model of Marbled Salamanders (Ambystoma opacum) in Western Massachusetts.

Marbled Salamander reproductive failure is tightly linked to vernal pool hydrology and there are...

Ongoing
Raymond Bradley Assessment of paleoclimate resources for studies of climate extremes

This project is focused on compiling existing paleo-limnological data from lakes throughout the...

Completed
Keith Nislow Effects of small impoundments on stream temperature regimes in the context of a changing climate

Small dams and impoundments are ubiquitous in stream networks in the northeastern and north...

Ongoing
Linda Deegan Insights into the long-term physical controls on estuarine food webs and implications for future change

We observed a strong...

Ongoing
Frank Thompson, Joshua Millspaugh The use of climate and land cover to predict avian abundance across the Midwestern United States.

We are using a Bayesian hierarchical modeling framework to evaluate...

Ongoing
Anthony D'Amato Great Lakes Silviculture Prescription Library

This project is developing an on-line platform to enable rapid sharing and cataloging of...

Ongoing
Anthony D'Amato Developing historically-consistent and broadly-applicable monitoring, reporting, and verification system for quantifying forest change

Given the increasing impacts of climate change and natural disturbances on forest ecosystems...

Ongoing
Richard Palmer Understanding Conservation Management Decisions in the Face of Sea-Level Rise Along the U.S. Atlantic Coast

This project addresses a complex local scale conservation problem: managing the impacts...

Ongoing
FY'13
Jana Stewart NorEaST – Stream Temperature Web Portal Demonstration and Application

Climate change is expected to alter stream temperature and flow...

Completed
FY'13
Chris Caldwell Shifting Seasons: Tribal Climate Adaptation Training with Northeastern Tribes

College of Menominee Nation (CMN) Sustainable Development Institute hosted a Shifting Seasons...

Completed
FY'13
Ben Zuckerberg Fitting the Climate Lens to Grassland Bird Conservation: Assessing Climate Change Vulnerability Using Demographically-Informed Species Distribution Models

To develop the framework to identify demographic sensitivities and assess the vulnerability of...

Ongoing
FY'13
Craig Paukert A Decisions Support Mapper for Conserving Stream Fish Habitats of the NE CSC Region

To integrate results of a current condition habitat assessment of stream habitats that accounts...

Completed
FY'13
Evan Grant Making decisions in complex landscapes: headwater stream management across multiple agencies

There is growing evidence that headwater stream ecosystems are especially vulnerable to changing...

Ongoing
FY'13
Radley Horton Improving the downscaling of climate model for impacts assessments

We are improving downscaling of general circulation model (GCM) data for climate change impacts...

Ongoing
Anthony D'Amato Ecological and hydrological impacts of the emerald ash borer on black ash forests

This project examines the ecological and hydrological impacts of...

Ongoing
Anthony D'Amato Modeling effects of climate change on spruce-fir forest ecosystems and associated priority bird populations

Eastern spruce-fir forest ecosystems are among the most vulnerable to climate change within the...

Completed
FY'13
Chris Caldwell Collaboration in Action: Using the Menominee Model of Sustainability to Assess, Plan, and Build Capacity for Tribal Communities to Address Climate Change in the Northeast Climate Science Center Region

This project seeks to implement the recommendations included in Science Theme 6: "Impacts of...

Ongoing
Dave King, Keith Nislow Distributional changes in spruce-fir forests and forest-dependent wildlife: effects of climate variability and climate change

Spruce-fir forests reach their southern limit in New England and the Upper Midwest, and are...

Ongoing
Curtice Griffin, Dave King Forecasting Songbird Vulnerabilities to Climate Change

This project is focused on evaluating the spatial relationships of...

Ongoing
Raymond Bradley Circulation patterns associated with climate extremes

The variability of winter precipitation over the northeastern United States and the...

Completed
Richard Palmer Evaluating trends in streamflow extremes in the Northeast USA

The goal of this project is to identify statistical trends in...

Ongoing
Radley Horton Impacts of sea level rise on ecosystems

A reconnaissance study distinguishes coastal areas of the northeastern U.S. (approx. Virginia to...

Ongoing
Radley Horton Assessing climate change projections over the Northeast

Using Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) and CMIP3 data, we are developing a...

Ongoing
Linda Deegan The role of freshwater input in determining the contributions of different primary production sources to estuarine food webs in a tidal river

The hydrologic and biological dynamics of the oligohaline transitional zone, where nutrients and...

Ongoing
Linda Deegan Effects of moderate eutrophication on saltmarsh food webs

We examine the impacts of moderate nutrient enrichment on the production mummichog, Fundulus...

Ongoing
Linda Deegan Ecology of coastal migratory striped bass (Morone saxatalis)

Striped bass are a priority species for the Northeast LCC.  Subadult and small adult (375–475 mm...

Ongoing
Frank Thompson, Joshua Millspaugh Effects of climate on wildlife demographics and population viability

We are investigating the effects of climate on multiple aspects of bird demography, including...

Ongoing
Frank Thompson, Joanna Whittier, Richard Guyette Predicting fire frequency with chemistry and climate

We are developing a predictive model for estimating fire frequency based on theories and data in...

Ongoing
Frank Thompson Changes in Forested Landscapes of the Eastern United States Under Alternative Climate Scenarios

Forests in the Eastern United States are in the early- and mid-successional stages recovering...

Completed
FY'13
David Liebl, Kenneth Potter Assessing vulnerability through storm transposition

Historical climate data for the Midwestern U.S. show substantial regional variability in the...

Ongoing
Kenneth Potter Stream temperatures in the Driftless Area

The Driftless Region is blessed with an exceptional coldwater fishery (native brook trout and...

Ongoing
David Liebl, Kenneth Potter Climate change, frost, and groundwater recharge in the Midwestern U.S.

The one-dimensional...

Ongoing
Anthony D'Amato Climate and disturbance factors affecting shifts between grassland and forest biomes over the past century within the upper Midwest

This project aims to quantify the range in variability in forest...

Completed
Anthony D'Amato Effects of climate, disturbance, and management on the growth and dynamics of temperate and sub-boreal forest ecosystems within the Lake States and New England

This project is using tree-ring patterns and long-term data...

Ongoing
Raymond Bradley Downscaling of GCM output; studies of climate extremes

A statistical downscaling method (bias-correction and spatial disaggregation: BCSD) is applied...

Ongoing
Raymond Bradley Multi-model regional model simulations for future climate scenarios

General circulation models and high resolution regional climate models (RCMs) are being used to...

Ongoing
Raymond Bradley Assessment of regional climate model simulation estimates over the northeast United States

We used outputs from an ensemble of regional climate models (RCMs) participating in the North...

Completed
Richard Palmer Evaluating the impacts of climate change in the Connecticut River Basin

For the past four years, The Nature Conservancy (TNC) and the US Army Corps of Engineers (Corps...

Ongoing
Richard Palmer Evaluating the impacts of climate change on regional hydrology

There are a number of fundamental questions that remain unanswered in the Northeast concerning...

Ongoing
Keith Nislow Effects of hydrologic change and variability on upstream limits of stream fish distribution

Coldwater stream fishes are widely predicted to move upstream in response to warming downstream...

Ongoing
Keith Nislow Decision-support for headwater stream habitats

Coldwater stream habitats are at risk from climate change, but...

Ongoing
Curtice Griffin, Kevin McGarigal Designing Sustainable Landscapes (DSL)

This project is focused on assessing the capability of current and potential future landscapes...

Ongoing
Kasey Hutchinson Environmental Effects of Agricultural Practices, Eastern Tallgrass Prairie and Big Rivers Landscape Conservation Cooperative (LCC) and Upper Midwest and Great Lakes LCC – Literature search

The purpose of the project was to conduct an extensive search for both published and ongoing...

Completed
FY'12
Rob Thieler A Research and Decision Support Framework to Evaluate Sea-level Rise Impacts in the Northeastern U.S.

Previous approaches to quantify coastal vulnerability to sea-level rise have had major...

Completed
FY'12
Jana Stewart A Stream Temperature Inventory Network and Decision Support Metadata Mapper - Evaluating the Resources to Understanding Climate Change Effects on Streams in New England and the Great Lakes States

Stream data for the northeastern U.S. are needed to enable managers to understand baseline...

Completed
FY'12
Mark Anderson Extending the Northeast Terrestrial Habitat Map to Atlantic Canada

Consistent and accurate landscape datasets are important...

Completed
FY'12
Austin Polebitski Bringing People, Data, and Models Together – Addressing Impacts of Climate Change on Stream Temperature

This study set out to answer the question: “What data and modeling frameworks are needed to...

Completed
FY'12
Richard Kraus Developing Fish Trophic Interaction Indicators of Climate Change for the Great Lakes

This project addressed regional climate change effects on aquatic food webs in the Great Lakes....

Completed
FY'12
Brian Irwin Characterization of Spatial and Temporal Variability in Fishes in Response to Climate Change

Currently, there exists much uncertainty regarding how climate change will influence different...

Ongoing
FY'12
David Diamond Critically Evaluating Existing Methods and Supporting a Standardization of Terrestrial and Wetland Habitat Classification and Mapping that Includes Characterization of Climate Sensitive Systems

This project will facilitate coordination among the scientific community to provide a comparison...

Completed
FY'12
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